EVENTS:   Best Equity Short Ideas Conference Call 12 - Zach Shannon/Corto Capital Advisors & Craig Huber/Huber Research Partners & Thomas Beevers /Forensic Alpha & Ed Steele/Iron Blue Financials & Bill Campbell/Paragon Intel - 12 Nov 25   Will AI Deflate the World? Macro Lessons from Three Industrial Revolutions and China - Manoj Pradhan/Talking Heads Macro - 13 Nov 25     ROADSHOWS: Forest Products Sector Equity and Commodity Research With Expertise in Distressed Debt - Kevin Mason /ERA Research   •   London   12 - 14 Nov 25       Buyside to Buyside Forum and Expert Calls across TMT, Consumer, Healthcare and Fintech - Andrew Peters /Revelare Partners   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25       Fundamental US Healthcare Short Ideas - Dr Elliot Favus /Favus Institutional Research   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25      

US Equity Market 2024 Outlook

Trivariate Research

Fri 12 Jan 2024 - 14:00 GMT / 09:00 EST

Summary

Adam Parker focused on US Equity Strategy for ’24. He highlighted positive economic indicators and the ongoing debate about the consumer side, industrial complex, and Federal Reserve intervention. Sector recommendations favored energy, healthcare services, and utilities, with a cautious approach to discretionary and select industrials. Adam sees idiosyncratic risk, extensive analyst coverage, and quantitative challenges in replication as reasons to avoid significant bets on the “Magnificent Seven". Instead, he emphasized a preference for software over semiconductors for tech investors. Trivariate's research methodologies were also highlighted, showcasing innovative approaches such as: exploring wage pressure in union-heavy industrials, tracking AI-related stocks through earnings call mentions, studying the impact of retail shrink on store growth, and using natural language processing to establish semiconductor inventory trends.

Topics

Key market debates and controversies

Areas of available alpha

Risks

Top industry ideas

Management decision making – capital uses