EVENTS:   Best Equity Short Ideas Conference Call 12 - Zach Shannon/Corto Capital Advisors & Craig Huber/Huber Research Partners & Thomas Beevers /Forensic Alpha & Ed Steele/Iron Blue Financials & Bill Campbell/Paragon Intel - 12 Nov 25   Will AI Deflate the World? Macro Lessons from Three Industrial Revolutions and China - Manoj Pradhan/Talking Heads Macro - 13 Nov 25     ROADSHOWS: Forest Products Sector Equity and Commodity Research With Expertise in Distressed Debt - Kevin Mason /ERA Research   •   London   12 - 14 Nov 25       Buyside to Buyside Forum and Expert Calls across TMT, Consumer, Healthcare and Fintech - Andrew Peters /Revelare Partners   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25       Fundamental US Healthcare Short Ideas - Dr Elliot Favus /Favus Institutional Research   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25      

Trading US election uncertainties: have we seen the worst?

David Woo Unbound

Wed 24 Jul 2024 - 15:00 BST / 10:00 EDT

Summary

David Woo discussed his investment strategy, which integrates economics, politics, and geopolitics. His current trades include: Long September VIX futures, anticipating heightened pre-election uncertainty; Short Euro/Yen, predicting yen strength due to potential Bank of Japan policy changes and geopolitical factors favoring Japan; Long gold, driven by global fiscal instability and geopolitical risks, especially regarding potential conflict between Israel and Iran; Short Dollar/Mexican Peso and long Dollar/Singapore Dollar, reflecting his views on U.S.-China relations and Trump’s potential policies towards Mexico. Woo is critical of analysts lacking accountability and promotes his transparent approach. His portfolio outperformed benchmarks, and he offers a trial of his services to interested clients

Topics

Is the market jumping the gun in piling into Trump trades?

Which Democrat has the best chance to beat Trump?

What will China, Russia and Iran do if a Trump victory becomes inevitable?

What will be the biggest market headwind in 2025 regardless who wins?

What are the best election trades?

David will provide a scenario analysis, probabilities, and predictions