EVENTS:   Where's the Puck Going? - James Aitken/Aitken Advisors - 05 May 26     ROADSHOWS: Consumer Research & Industry Trends focused on US Retail, E-Tail, and Consumer Products Companies - Scott Mushkin /R5 Capital   •   London   07 - 08 May 26      
Filters

The Cut

Fortnightly publication highlighting latest insights from IRF providers

Company Research

Consumer Discretionary

Report by LightStream Research

Revenue growth has underperformed consensus expectations in all quarters since management decided to cut costs to ensure its long-term survival. The share price sank ~20% leading up to 4Q22 earnings and has dropped more than 10% since then to $12.86 per ADS. However, the valuation remains expensive compared to regional peers - CPNG still trades at an 80% premium to the second most expensive e-commerce name in the region. With the share price breaking the trend line, Oshadhi Kumarasiri sees the stock falling below last year’s bottom of $8.98 per ADS.

Get alpha from 10-K filing season

Report by New Constructs

The Journal of Financial Economics (see here) proves how New Constructs’ Robo-Analyst technology overcomes material shortcomings in legacy data firms to provide superior fundamental data, earnings models, and research. During the Real Earnings Season (Feb 14-Mar 18), the Robo-Analyst found 38,314 Core Earnings, balance sheet, and valuation adjustments with a combined value of $18.9trn.

American Airlines (AAL) - Losses still bigger than many realise. Earnings Distortions totalled $3.5bn (173% of GAAP earnings).
GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) - Growing Profits + Cheap Valuation = Very Attractive Rating. Core Earnings of $6.9bn > GAAP earnings of $4.4bn.
International Flavors & Fragrances - Why understated profits aren’t always a good investment.

In addition, material weaknesses in internal controls were identified at several stocks including CBRE Group, Coupang and SeaWorld.