Report by Northcoast Research
Northcoast raises their TP for the stock to $250 (24x 2026 earnings estimate of $10.58), citing strong execution and share gains in HVAC, helped by FERG's focus on dual/multi-trade contractors and leverage to Daikin brands amid R-454B shortages. Management lifted guidance, with gross margins now seen above 30% and higher operating margin expectations, reflecting strong pricing and easing commodity deflation. Despite weak residential markets, FERG’s diverse end-market model is proving advantageous. With private label potential, sales leverage and underappreciated non-residential exposure, Northcoast sees the stock as undervalued and well-positioned to benefit from shifting industry dynamics and eventual recovery in residential demand.