EVENTS:   Semiconductors: Bubble Burst or Bear Market Trap? - David Scott/CHA-AM Advisors - 17 Sep 26     ROADSHOWS: US, European and Asian Equity Short Ideas - Robert Prather /Vision Research   •     15 Sep - 08 Oct 26      
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Effectively insolvent - Neeraj Monga does not believe that the so-called deposit lifeline changes the underlying economic reality of the bank. Interest expense will rise exponentially, while the liquidity problem is further compounded by an asset-liability mismatch of immense proportions. Moreover, 90% of the loan book of $148bn is dedicated to real estate, of which non-amortizing single-family loans are $51bn and multi-family loans are $11bn. Thus, 43% of FRC’s book of loans is to a sector under intense pressure with the Fed trying to control inflation. FRC is a living and currently breathing Murphy’s Law in action; anything that can go wrong will go wrong, and at the worst possible time.

Edition 158 - 14 Apr 23