EVENTS:   Semiconductors: Bubble Burst or Bear Market Trap? - David Scott/CHA-AM Advisors - 17 Sep 26     ROADSHOWS: US, European and Asian Equity Short Ideas - Robert Prather /Vision Research   •     15 Sep - 08 Oct 26      
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Fortnightly publication highlighting latest insights from IRF providers

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Consumer Idea Forum

Report by MYST Advisors

MYST’s group of Consumer specialists offered a diverse set of ideas ranging from M&A beneficiaries, capital return stories, “Value” bellwethers and potential overearners. Three of the most compelling ideas presented included…

Amazon (AMZN) - Self-help story with renewed focus on costs. AWS growth slowdown is temporary. Trades below tough valuation. TP $4970 (100%+ upside).
Jack in the Box (JACK) - Capital light with high margins and minimal cyclicality. Mispriced at 12x P/E (vs. peers at 20x+). TP $250 (200%+ upside).
MGM Resorts (MGM) - GGR growth to stall and margins contract even without a recession. With no fat left to cut, a 1% decline in GGR could wipe out FCF entirely. Selling real estate portfolio was “insane” given the permanently escalating rent MGM must now pay. TP $20 (40% downside).

Edition 135 - 13 May 22