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Accounting games create illusion of earnings growth - IBM is “misleading” investors into believing the company is growing EBIT at a considerable pace following the spin-off of its IT services business, Kyndryl Holdings. The perception of growth in the RemainCo has been the primary driver of the stock’s material outperformance. However, “real” EPS power is more like ~$8/share and applying IBM’s long-term average ~10x P/E multiple results in a TP of $80 (45% downside).

Edition 152 - 20 Jan 23