EVENTS:   YOLO until IPO - Marko Papic/BCA Research - 30 Jun 26   Best Equity Short Ideas Conference Call 14 - Robert Prather/Vision Research & Pierre-Olivier Essig/AIR Capital & Makay Redd /Oxford DataPlan & Zach Shannon/Corto Capital Advisors & Russell Waller/New Street Research & Tom Beevers/Forensic Alpha - 02 Jul 26     ROADSHOWS: Fundamental US Healthcare Short Ideas - Dr Elliot Favus /Favus Institutional Research   •   London   02 - 03 Jul 26       Semiconductors Coverage and Ideas - Kevin Cassidy /Rosenblatt Securities   •   London   08 - 09 Jul 26      

The debt-fuelled ring of fire

New Normal Consulting

Tue 24 Mar 2020 - 15:00

Summary

Paul views the economy through the lens of capacity utilisation in the chemical industry - a leading indicator. On the call he highlighted practical areas for attention - employee health & safety; value/supply chain risks; credit risks; paradigm shifts. Reviewed the lessons to be learned from China’s experience over the past 3 months, and warned that recovery in the West will not be V-shaped. Earthquake tremors are hitting financial and oil markets as central banks and OPEC lose control – and markets will rediscover their true role of price discovery.

Topics

Highlights 'the debt-fuelled ring of fire' which has started to be opened up as central banks have lost control, as have OPEC, whilst a major paradigm shift is underway, and the world will be very different when the recession ends.