EVENTS:   Building Resilient Portfolios in an Age of Disruption - Pavol Povala/Allocation Strategy - 19 Nov 25   NEW SERIES: Best Equity Long Ideas Conference Call 1 - Kevin Cassidy/Rosenblatt Securities & Andrew Freedman/Hedgeye & Jonathan Boyar/Boyar Research & Hamed Khorsand/BWS Financial & Pelham Smithers/Pelham Smithers Associates & Hemant Kotak/Kolytics & Benjamin Silverman/2Xideas - 20 Nov 25   UK Budget - How Did We Get Here, Why is UK Having Another Massive Tax Hike? - Mark Bathgate/Tweeddale Advisors - 21 Nov 25     ROADSHOWS: Buyside to Buyside Forum and Expert Calls across TMT, Consumer, Healthcare and Fintech - Andrew Peters /Revelare Partners   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25       Fundamental US Healthcare Short Ideas - Dr Elliot Favus /Favus Institutional Research   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25      

The debt-fuelled ring of fire

New Normal Consulting

Tue 24 Mar 2020 - 15:00

Summary

Paul views the economy through the lens of capacity utilisation in the chemical industry - a leading indicator. On the call he highlighted practical areas for attention - employee health & safety; value/supply chain risks; credit risks; paradigm shifts. Reviewed the lessons to be learned from China’s experience over the past 3 months, and warned that recovery in the West will not be V-shaped. Earthquake tremors are hitting financial and oil markets as central banks and OPEC lose control – and markets will rediscover their true role of price discovery.

Topics

Highlights 'the debt-fuelled ring of fire' which has started to be opened up as central banks have lost control, as have OPEC, whilst a major paradigm shift is underway, and the world will be very different when the recession ends.