EVENTS:   Fault Lines: China, Iran and the Future of U.S.-China Competition - Alice Han/Greenmantle - 04 Jun 26   Rubin, ASICs, and the Analog Price Reset (JNK’s 2H 2026 Supply Chain Signals) - Martin Jacobs/JNK Research - 09 Jun 26   The Structural, the Cyclical and the Tactical - Tian Yang/Variant Perception - 10 Jun 26     ROADSHOWS: Europe and Asia Short Ideas - Robert Prather /Vision Research   •   Edinburgh, Paris, Geneva   03 - 07 Jun 26       High Performance Computing & FinTech Coverage and Ideas - Chris Brendler /Rosenblatt Securities   •   London   03 - 04 Jun 26       L/S Industrials, Materials, Energy & Utilities Ideas - Jay Van Sciver & Fernando Valle /Hedgeye   •   London   09 - 11 Jun 26       Global Conflicts - Implications for Defense Contractors - Byron Callan /Capital Alpha Partners   •   London   09 - 12 Jun 26      

The debt-fuelled ring of fire

New Normal Consulting

Tue 24 Mar 2020 - 15:00

Summary

Paul views the economy through the lens of capacity utilisation in the chemical industry - a leading indicator. On the call he highlighted practical areas for attention - employee health & safety; value/supply chain risks; credit risks; paradigm shifts. Reviewed the lessons to be learned from China’s experience over the past 3 months, and warned that recovery in the West will not be V-shaped. Earthquake tremors are hitting financial and oil markets as central banks and OPEC lose control – and markets will rediscover their true role of price discovery.

Topics

Highlights 'the debt-fuelled ring of fire' which has started to be opened up as central banks have lost control, as have OPEC, whilst a major paradigm shift is underway, and the world will be very different when the recession ends.