EVENTS:   East Asia: Will consumption ever rise? Will exchange rates ever appreciate? - Paul Cavey/East Asia Econ - 23 Sep 25     ROADSHOWS: Global ESG and Impact-Investment Trends with Contrarian Trades in the Energy Transition Space - François Boutin-Dufresne & Félix-A. Boudreault /Sustainable Market Strategies   •   New York • 20 - 24 Oct London   22 - 24 Sep 25       US Healthcare & Merger Arbitrage Catalysts - Tommy Barletta /Aldis Institutional Services   •   London   22 - 23 Sep 25       East Asia Macro Outlook: China, Taiwan, Japan and South Korea - Paul Cavey /East Asia Econ   •   London   23 - 24 Sep 25       L/S Defense Europe’s Military Spending U.S. Strategy and Geopolitical Risks - Col. Jeffrey McCausland /Hedgeye   •   London   24 - 25 Sep 25       Buyside to Buyside Forum and Expert Calls across TMT, Consumer, Healthcare and Fintech - Andrew Peters /Revelare Partners   •   London   25 - 26 Sep 25      

The debt-fuelled ring of fire

New Normal Consulting

Tue 24 Mar 2020 - 15:00

Summary

Paul views the economy through the lens of capacity utilisation in the chemical industry - a leading indicator. On the call he highlighted practical areas for attention - employee health & safety; value/supply chain risks; credit risks; paradigm shifts. Reviewed the lessons to be learned from China’s experience over the past 3 months, and warned that recovery in the West will not be V-shaped. Earthquake tremors are hitting financial and oil markets as central banks and OPEC lose control – and markets will rediscover their true role of price discovery.

Topics

Highlights 'the debt-fuelled ring of fire' which has started to be opened up as central banks have lost control, as have OPEC, whilst a major paradigm shift is underway, and the world will be very different when the recession ends.