EVENTS:   GFC Economics: 27 Years of Calling Big Turning Points in the Global Macro Economy - Graham Turner/GFC Economics - 22 Apr 26   How is this Energy Price Shock Different to '22 and Why Climate Change is Still Not Priced into Markets - David Owen/Saltmarsh Economics & Marchel Alexandrovich/Saltmarsh Economics - 28 Apr 26     ROADSHOWS: Behavioural Finance, Portfolio Strategy & Quant - Jim Rocchio /Kailash Capital Research   •   London   21 - 22 Apr 26      

The debt-fuelled ring of fire

New Normal Consulting

Tue 24 Mar 2020 - 15:00

Summary

Paul views the economy through the lens of capacity utilisation in the chemical industry - a leading indicator. On the call he highlighted practical areas for attention - employee health & safety; value/supply chain risks; credit risks; paradigm shifts. Reviewed the lessons to be learned from China’s experience over the past 3 months, and warned that recovery in the West will not be V-shaped. Earthquake tremors are hitting financial and oil markets as central banks and OPEC lose control – and markets will rediscover their true role of price discovery.

Topics

Highlights 'the debt-fuelled ring of fire' which has started to be opened up as central banks have lost control, as have OPEC, whilst a major paradigm shift is underway, and the world will be very different when the recession ends.