EVENTS:   Best Equity Short Ideas Conference Call 12 - Zach Shannon/Corto Capital Advisors & Craig Huber/Huber Research Partners & Thomas Beevers /Forensic Alpha & Ed Steele/Iron Blue Financials & Bill Campbell/Paragon Intel - 12 Nov 25   Will AI Deflate the World? Macro Lessons from Three Industrial Revolutions and China - Manoj Pradhan/Talking Heads Macro - 13 Nov 25     ROADSHOWS: Forest Products Sector Equity and Commodity Research With Expertise in Distressed Debt - Kevin Mason /ERA Research   •   London   12 - 14 Nov 25       Buyside to Buyside Forum and Expert Calls across TMT, Consumer, Healthcare and Fintech - Andrew Peters /Revelare Partners   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25       Fundamental US Healthcare Short Ideas - Dr Elliot Favus /Favus Institutional Research   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25      

The Variant Perception Tactical Cookbook: An Empirical Approach

Variant Perception

Wed 07 Dec 2022 - 15:00 GMT / 10:00 EST

Topics

"Market timing, by the way, is a tag some buy-and-hold investors use to put down anything that involves using your brain." – Jeremy Grantham

Tactical indicators can act as filters to prioritise ideas and help manage risk

There are two main concepts in VP's tactical framework:

  • The Tactical Outlook determined by trend, sentiment and analogies to historical price action.
  • Buy/Sell Signals that are on or off at specific points in time

    VP have quantified sentiment, flow and positioning measures that are more real-time

    VP think of tactical models as complements to their primary work on cyclical (i.e. leading indicators) and structural (i.e. capital cycle) analysis. If the tactical, cyclical and structural outlooks are aligned, that would warrant maximum position sizes.