EVENTS:   The Roaring 2020s or a Rerun of the 1970s? - Edward Yardeni/Yardeni Research - 24 Mar 26   Best Equity Short Ideas Conference Call 13 - Thomas Chanos/Badger Consultants & Dr. Aaron Fletcher/Bios Research & Jonathan Telgener/Channel Dynamics & Ed Steele/Iron Blue Financials & John Zolidis/Quo Vadis Capital & Mark Hiley/The Analyst - 26 Mar 26     ROADSHOWS: Chinese Equity Ideas & Channel Checks Across 50 sub-sectors - Don Ma /Horizon Insights   •   London   23 - 27 Mar 26       Long Short European Equity Research - Harry Grist /The Analyst   •   New York   26 Mar 26       Fundamental US Healthcare Short Ideas - Dr Elliot Favus /Favus Institutional Research   •   London   27 - 27 Mar 26      

When the US Economy Breaks, Everything Breaks

Steno Research

Thu 23 Nov 2023 - 15:00 GMT / 10:00 EST

Summary

Andreas Steno and Emil Moller showcased their quant-based methodology as applied to global macro asset allocation. They challenged consensus views, predicting a US economic downturn and showed how their indicators such as financial condition indices are pointing to faster rate cuts in Europe relative to the US. Furthermore, they detailed concerns about inflation, labor market dynamics, and fiscal headwinds. This contrarian perspective challenged prevailing market optimism and positioning. Andreas highlighted trading strategies proposing short-term long positions in Euro dollar, oil, and natural gas.

Topics

All stars, except the US economy, align for a recession

Just as everyone concludes that recession risks are receding, they may actually be increasing

Steno Research will showcase their state of the art quant-based setup to trade global macro.