EVENTS:   Best Equity Short Ideas Conference Call 12 - Zach Shannon/Corto Capital Advisors & Craig Huber/Huber Research Partners & Thomas Beevers /Forensic Alpha & Ed Steele/Iron Blue Financials & Bill Campbell/Paragon Intel - 12 Nov 25   Will AI Deflate the World? Macro Lessons from Three Industrial Revolutions and China - Manoj Pradhan/Talking Heads Macro - 13 Nov 25     ROADSHOWS: Forest Products Sector Equity and Commodity Research With Expertise in Distressed Debt - Kevin Mason /ERA Research   •   London   12 - 14 Nov 25       Buyside to Buyside Forum and Expert Calls across TMT, Consumer, Healthcare and Fintech - Andrew Peters /Revelare Partners   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25       Fundamental US Healthcare Short Ideas - Dr Elliot Favus /Favus Institutional Research   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25      

Thu 30 Nov 2023 - 16:00 GMT

Summary

Chris highlighted the critical role of semiconductors in various technologies and discussed how governments are investing heavily to secure their chip supply chains. He traced the history of the chip industry, emphasizing its origins in military applications. Chris underscored the importance of semiconductor capabilities in the arms race in East Asia, with a focus on machine learning and AI, particularly the shortage of advanced GPU chips. Chris detailed China's efforts to achieve self-sufficiency in semiconductors, outlining the challenges it faces, such as restrictions on advanced manufacturing tools. He discussed the impact of government subsidies and explored the implications for market share, especially in China, as it seeks to become more self-sufficient in chip production. The presentation concluded with an examination of the geopolitical risks associated with Taiwan's role in chip manufacturing. Chris highlighted companies' efforts to mitigate risks by diversifying their supply chains away from China and Taiwan.

Topics

What role do tensions over semiconductors play in U.S.-China relations?

What is the aim of U.S. export controls on advanced chipmaking tools and GPU chips?

Will the U.S. succeed in limiting China's AI capabilities by choking off access to high-end chips?

What is the impact of semiconductor subsidy programs like the US and EU Chips Act programs? Will these programs induce more manufacturing investment in advanced economies? Will they create overcapacity in the market?

Is China's chipmaking investment program working? Will Chinese firms win market share and develop advanced technologies?