EVENTS:   Acceleration in the Energy Transition - David Scott/CHA-AM Advisors - 12 May 26     ROADSHOWS: Consumer Research & Industry Trends focused on US Retail, E-Tail, and Consumer Products Companies - Scott Mushkin /R5 Capital   •   London   07 - 08 May 26       US Equity Short Research & Strategy - Zach Shannon /Corto Capital Advisors   •   New York   18 - 19 May 26       Investing in Constraint: Governance, Scarcity, and the Next Phase of the Energy Transition - François Boutin-Dufresne & Félix-A. Boudreault & Lenka Martinek /Sustainable Market Strategies   •   London   18 - 19 May 26      

When the US Economy Breaks, Everything Breaks

Steno Research

Thu 23 Nov 2023 - 15:00 GMT / 10:00 EST

Summary

Andreas Steno and Emil Moller showcased their quant-based methodology as applied to global macro asset allocation. They challenged consensus views, predicting a US economic downturn and showed how their indicators such as financial condition indices are pointing to faster rate cuts in Europe relative to the US. Furthermore, they detailed concerns about inflation, labor market dynamics, and fiscal headwinds. This contrarian perspective challenged prevailing market optimism and positioning. Andreas highlighted trading strategies proposing short-term long positions in Euro dollar, oil, and natural gas.

Topics

All stars, except the US economy, align for a recession

Just as everyone concludes that recession risks are receding, they may actually be increasing

Steno Research will showcase their state of the art quant-based setup to trade global macro.