EVENTS:   Best Equity Short Ideas Conference Call 12 - Zach Shannon/Corto Capital Advisors & Craig Huber/Huber Research Partners & Thomas Beevers /Forensic Alpha & Ed Steele/Iron Blue Financials & Bill Campbell/Paragon Intel - 12 Nov 25   Will AI Deflate the World? Macro Lessons from Three Industrial Revolutions and China - Manoj Pradhan/Talking Heads Macro - 13 Nov 25     ROADSHOWS: Forest Products Sector Equity and Commodity Research With Expertise in Distressed Debt - Kevin Mason /ERA Research   •   London   12 - 14 Nov 25       Buyside to Buyside Forum and Expert Calls across TMT, Consumer, Healthcare and Fintech - Andrew Peters /Revelare Partners   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25       Fundamental US Healthcare Short Ideas - Dr Elliot Favus /Favus Institutional Research   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25      

When the US Economy Breaks, Everything Breaks

Steno Research

Thu 23 Nov 2023 - 15:00 GMT / 10:00 EST

Summary

Andreas Steno and Emil Moller showcased their quant-based methodology as applied to global macro asset allocation. They challenged consensus views, predicting a US economic downturn and showed how their indicators such as financial condition indices are pointing to faster rate cuts in Europe relative to the US. Furthermore, they detailed concerns about inflation, labor market dynamics, and fiscal headwinds. This contrarian perspective challenged prevailing market optimism and positioning. Andreas highlighted trading strategies proposing short-term long positions in Euro dollar, oil, and natural gas.

Topics

All stars, except the US economy, align for a recession

Just as everyone concludes that recession risks are receding, they may actually be increasing

Steno Research will showcase their state of the art quant-based setup to trade global macro.